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The Pollcast: What to watch in Germany's election

The Pollcast: What to watch in Germany's election
From CBC - September 21, 2017

The CBCPollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst ric Grenier, explores the world of electoralpolitics,political polls and the trends they reveal.

The world's fourth-largest economy, governed by the longest-serving leader in the G7 group of countries, is going to the polls on Sunday. The result is expected to keep Angela Merkel as the chancellor of Germany.

But she will need a partner to form a government. Who will that be?

Merkel'scentre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU, allied with its Bavarian counterpart, the Christian Social Union, or CSU) has been in power since 2005. The polls suggest that the CDU/CSU will continue to be the largest party in the GermanBundestag the latest ones give it 35 to 36 per cent support.

But Germany's mixed-member proportional representation electoral system awards seats according to each party's share of the vote (as long as they reach a threshold of 5 per cent). This has required the CDU to seek coalition partners.

In 2005, Merkelformed a "grand coalition" with the centre-leftSocial Democrats (SPD), the second-largest party in the Bundestag. Four years later, the CDU then joined with the liberal Free Democrats (FDP), Germany's long-standing coalition partner with CDU and SPD governments due to its position in the centre of the political spectrum.

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